OpenAI CEO Sam Altman anticipates AI systems achieving 'novel insights' by 2026. In a recent blog post, Altman outlined a vision where AI agents perform real cognitive work this year, potentially revolutionising code writing. He suggests that by 2027, robots could undertake real-world tasks. Altman highlights the transformative potential of AI, predicting increased productivity and faster scientific progress. He notes that while some aspects of life will remain constant, the 2030s will be significantly different due to advancements in intelligence and energy.
Altman's forecast aligns with OpenAI's developments in AI reasoning models, such as o3 and o4-mini, which have already aided scientists in generating new ideas. Competing companies like Google are also pursuing similar AI models, like AlphaEvolve, designed to tackle complex problems. The successful development of AI capable of generating novel insights could automate scientific research and unlock opportunities in fields like drug discovery and material science. However, some remain sceptical about AI's capacity for genuine originality.
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