Nvidia Forecasts Exclude China Revenue

Nvidia Forecasts Exclude China Revenue

13 June 2025

Nvidia anticipates a hit to its financial forecasts due to ongoing US chip export restrictions affecting sales to China. CEO Jensen Huang has indicated little expectation of imminent changes to these restrictions. This decision to exclude China from revenue and profit projections reflects the tangible impact of geopolitical tensions on the semiconductor industry. The restrictions limit the export of advanced chips, crucial for AI and high-performance computing, impacting Nvidia's ability to serve a significant market. This strategic shift underscores the need for tech companies to navigate complex international regulations and diversify their markets.

The US government's export controls aim to limit China's access to technology that could enhance its military capabilities. Nvidia, a leader in AI chips, is directly affected by these measures. The company is adapting by focusing on other markets and developing alternative products that comply with the regulations. However, the exclusion of China from its forecasts signals a notable financial adjustment. Investors are closely watching how Nvidia manages this challenge and whether it can offset the lost revenue through growth in other regions or product lines. The situation highlights the broader trend of decoupling in the tech sector, as countries prioritise national security and economic competitiveness.

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Published on 13 June 2025
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