AI's Unpredictable Power Demand

AI's Unpredictable Power Demand

4 November 2025

OpenAI's Sam Altman and Microsoft's Satya Nadella have voiced concerns regarding the unpredictable energy demands of AI, admitting they can't accurately forecast future electricity needs. This uncertainty poses a risk to investors backing energy infrastructure projects. Nadella revealed that Microsoft possesses a surplus of GPUs that remain unused due to power constraints, highlighting a critical bottleneck in AI deployment.

AI's rapid efficiency gains, with models becoming 40 times more efficient annually, contribute to the difficulty in predicting infrastructure needs. Altman cautioned that the emergence of cheaper energy sources could negatively impact those with existing energy contracts. The AI industry's power consumption is surging, prompting tech giants to explore alternative energy solutions like small nuclear reactors and investments in existing power plants.

Data centres globally consume a significant portion of the world's energy, and this demand is projected to increase substantially. The race to secure adequate power for AI development is intensifying, with companies scrambling to secure behind-the-meter power deals. This situation marks a shift in how tech companies approach energy, as they grapple with the growing power demands of increasingly sophisticated AI models.

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Published on 3 November 2025
aienergyinvestmentopenaimicrosoft
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